Friday, November 05, 2004

New Mexico Faces Yet Another Bout Of Vote-Counting Chaos, Will it Change Anything?

Yes, there's still 19,000 or so "provisional" ballots remaining to be counted in New Mexico. But media reports are not emphasizing that many of those will be rejected. Probably at least 20% of them and maybe up to 40 or 50%. Let's say 30% of them are rejected. That would leave about 13,300 votes to be counted. The AP has Kerry behind Bush by 8,366. Kerry cannot make up the difference. Unless there are a bunch of missing votes, not an impossibility in vote-challenged New Mexico, or the AP numbers are out of whack, which is not likely, the state goes Bush. Nervous Republicans and heir lawyers have already filed a court challenge regarding provisional counting in Sandoval County. With NM's storied history of election-counting errors, don't rule anything out at this point.

Look at this statement posted on the Dona Ana County clerk's web site: "The unofficial elections results posted on Wednesday, November 3, 2004 were found to contain inaccuracies. The corrected numbers will be posted as soon as they are
available."

This is the same county that fouled up the 2000 vote-count when they posted wrong numbers in the Prez race. As a result, Al Gore eked out a 366 vote win. No wonder Domenici delayed his return to Washington.