Thursday, May 07, 2026Dem Light Guv Race Already Looks Like Lights Out While Land Commission Battle Keeps The Suspense, Plus: Captioning MLG; Her Derby Day Duds Get Reader Attention And A Free LunchLet’s catch up on more of that very early polling of the statewide races from the ABQ Journal and look for clues for the election outcome as well as future state policy. Featuring outgoing Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver and ABQ state Senator Harold Pope, the well-known Toulouse Oliver, a former Bernalillo County Clerk, out polled Pope by a wide 54 to 10 with 36 percent undecided. The race will be much closer than that but with her being over 50 percent and with Pope not having resources to launch a significant media buy, it appears MTO will be the Lieutenant Governor nominee for the state's majority party. She will likely be teamed with Deb Haaland, who continues to hold a large lead over Sam Bregman. Together they would comprise the first female major party ticket in state history. Late Wednesday Pope announced he is airing two 15 second TV spots statewide. The campaign did not say how much was spent on the buy. The Lieutenant Governor position is a resurrection of Toulouse Oliver's often thwarted higher political hopes. But should she and Haaland win election in November, it is highly uncertain whether she would be dealt in on the action. Most of the time talk of doing so fizzles. What to watch on the campaign trail is the developing post-primary political relationship between the pair. MTO has policy chops and Haaland has political skills. So the #1 might not see the #2 as a threat and thus not as reluctant to bring her into the fold. But the history of the state's second bananas is not encouraging. LAND OFFICE SCRAMBLE
The former political aide to Sen. Heinrich scored 21% with Santa Fe area state Rep. Matthew McQueen and rancher and onetime federal AG employee Jonas Moya each getting 11 percent. A massive 57 percent of likely Dem primary voters were undecided. That shows how none of the hopefuls have statewide ID and also emphasizes that this April 17-24 poll is very early indeed. (And there won't be another.) McQueen bests Sanchez in the résumé area with a bevy of degrees and lengthy experience as an attorney dealing with land issues. He also was the author of a bill that raised the royalty rate on state lands for oil companies from 20% to 25%--a significant accomplishment. Sanchez notes that his family has ranching ties and that he had a role with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers as a Natural Resource Specialist. The race to succeed term-limited Commissioner Stephanie Garcia Richard will break down in part on ethnic lines. With no big TV buys expected, many voters can be expected to vote the last name when they cast ballots. Sanchez and Moya could split enough of the vote for McQueen to win, but Moya has hardly any money so he may not be the hindrance Sanchez fears. If none of the candidates gets on TV, we could have a very tight race Election Night. None of the Dem candidates and unopposed Republican Michael Perry of Roswell should have a problem running the often complicated office, if elected. None of them are duds and the land office has a strong permanent staff. That's good because the office continues to collect billions in revenue from the state's biggest and perhaps longest oil boom. BREGMAN-HAALAND TONIGHT That joint appearance taped Saturday evening between Deb Haaland and Sam Bregman will be broadcast tonight on PBS station KNME at 7 pm. (Channel 5.) We posted an incorrect time yesterday. The candidate exchange sponsored by the progressive groups Dukes Up will also be streamed via the PBS app and the NMPBS YouTube channel. CAPTIONING MLB Our caption contest featuring that pic over there of MLG in her custom jockey outfit at the Kentucky Derby brought in the chuckles. It also brough in our winner of a $50 lunch for two at the Barelas Coffee House. Let’s check out the highlights. Diana Ochoa I'll run around the State Constitution and I'll be in the race for a third term as Governor! Yee hah! David Duhigg If it can’t be fixed in the legislative session, we’re settling it on the track. John V. . . . And riding Lame Duck, we have Veto Grisham. Cheryl Haaker A horse! A horse! My luxurious office on the 4th floor of the Roundhouse for a horse! Duke Rodriguez Maybe this explains why everyone feels like they’ve been taken for a ride. Sue Brisben (on the socials) She looks adorable! Way to be a Fashionista, MLG! Bill Tallman MLG: "I am jockeying for a position in the next Democratic White House." John Michael Sandoval She
is so interested in horse racing, just not in our state? Several
towns applied for a racetrack and she couldn’t
approve any of them in 8 years as governor. Esteban Bush She’s gripping that broomstick like it was her last ride. Phil Sisneros Supporting Sandia Labs, the Governor agreed to test their new Plasma Reducer machine. Thanks to all who entered (and for the humor break.) And the winner is. . .John V. We thought he hit just the right note with his racetrack call of "And Riding Lame Duck, we have Veto Grisham." Enjoy the lunch, John. You can't go wrong with the chicken enchiladas. This is the Home of New Mexico Politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. |
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