Wednesday, September 14, 2022MLG Commands Double-Digit Lead in New SurveyUSA; She Overpowers Ronchetti Among Women And Hispanics; Race Looking Less "Lean" And More "Likely" For Majority Dems, Plus: More Campaign Action It was MLG 48 percent, Republican Mark Ronchetti 36 percent, Libertarian Karen Bedonie 5 percent and 11 percent undecided. The survey was conducted September 8-12 among 558 likely voters. The double-digit lead is her biggest of the campaign. The SurveyUSA in June had it 47 to 43 for MLG and the late August ABQ Journal poll gave the Governor a 47 to 40 percent lead over Ronchetti. Her support among women was at 51 percent while Ronchetti lagged at 33 in this latest SurveyUSA released late Tuesday. Her backing among Hispanics grazed against the landslide number of 60 with 59 percent supporting her but she will want to go higher with that traditionally Dem bloc before it’s all over. She even beat him among men, a group heavy with Republicans, scoring 45% to his 39%. On crime, seen as her chief vulnerability, MLG managed to eke out a 44 to 41 win over the GOP contender. On abortion she walloped him 68 to 22 percent. And importantly, she blew the doors off among Democrats getting 88 percent of their support. Meanwhile, Ronchetti's faction bedeviled GOP gave him only 76 percent backing. It was Ronchetti's misstep on the abortion issue in July that may be remembered as the death blow if he goes on to lose November 8. MORE MUST KNOW STUFF The one glimmer of good news for Ronchetti was the relatively high margin of error of the poll of 5.7 percent. But the trend is clear. He has led in no public polls and her lead has grown since June. That MLG is not at 50 percent is a small branch for the GOP to hang its hat on because the Libertarian is drawing five percent. And she has room to grow. Her approval rating in the poll was at 53 percent, previously foreign territory for her but now above 50 for the first time in many months. This may be the worst poll that Ronchetti confronts between now and Election Day. Republican performance in a statewide race is around 43 percent on the low end. In 2020 he managed 46 percent in his US Senate race against Ben Ray Lujan. But the former TV weather celebrity will need all the breaks to get it close, including some at the upcoming TV debates, one of which will be aired live on KOB-TV at 7 p.m. September 30. He has the money to make the run to the end, but she has all the oxygen and a wide open track while his path is now more narrow than ever. SOS AND AG That SurveyUSA poll looked a lot like the ABQ Journal's late August survey when it comes to the races for attorney general and secretary of state. Dem Sec. of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver led Republican Audrey Trujillo 46% to 35% with a Libertarian candidate getting 3 percent and undecided. In the Journal poll Oliver received 45 per cent, Trujillo 33 percent and the Libertarian 4 percent. In the attorney general contest Dem BernCo DA Raul Torrez had a 49 to 34 SurveyUSA lead over Republican Jeremy Gay with 18 percent undecided. In the Journal survey Torrez beat Gay 49 to 33. TRAIL DUST Northern and Eastern NM Congresswoman Teresa Leger Fernandez continues her TV campaign with this spot focusing on water issues. . . Mark Ronchetti announces he has been endorsed by the NM Fraternal Order of Police. . .The Vote Yes for Kids campaign, organized to support passage of Constitutional Amendment 1, says it has raised over $1.3 million. The group also released its first TV ad titled Our Future. PUELLE PICS
We found that out when we mistakenly posted a picture that we thought was of Puelle but was decidedly not. It happened as we were searching for a newer photo to run of the outgoing Mayor Keller chief of staff because the only one available seemed to be from Puelle's college days but the one we came up with was a bust. It was Mayor Keller's Facebook to the rescue. When he congratulated his chief on his new $192,000 a year job Tuesday, he ran a picture of his staff including Puelle and that's what's posted here today. Thanks to those who caught the misprint, including a number of Senior Alligators in Santa Fe. We suppose that bodes well for Puelle when he assumes his new job shmoozing the lawmakers October 10. We dialed up the new lobbyist but we're unable to make contact. Do you think he's heard enough from us since we spent several days breaking wide open the backstory on his appointment by UNM President Stokes? Well, he wouldn't be the first-- and won't be the last. This is the home of New Mexico Politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here.   (c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2022 |
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