Monday, March 14, 2022Guv-Legislative Showdown Muddies Election Year Waters; Veto Of Pork Bill Sparks Bipartisan Revolt As She Eyes Shifting Landscape; Possible Special Session In Works, Plus: PAC Backing Moderate Dems Dives Into House Races, And: Dem Preprimary Results; No Shockers But Movement
Depending on who you ask the MLG slap in the face of the entire Legislature by vetoing their prized and unanimously passed pork bill was motivated by panic over polling, revenge over the rejection of her pet bills by lawmakers or both. Her argument that the pork package was not fiscally prudent had few buyers.
Lawmakers were incensed over the veto of the smallish $50 million bill but one that contained a small batch of meaningful pork for each of their districts. So incensed that party caucuses met in the veto's aftermath to determine if the Legislature should call themselves into extraordinary session for only the second time in history to override her veto. At last check that move had generated considerable support but was coming up short with some Senators balking. The possibility of MLG calling a special session was also out there as well with all the election year danger that could entail if there is not a pre-determined outcome. It takes a lot to unite conservative Republicans with progressive Democrats but MLG has managed to do that nearly impossible feat with her in-your-face veto. If the Guv is mad she has plenty of reasons. The Legislature took her to the state Supreme Court and won over her insistence that she could direct federal Covid relief money on her own; they rejected her controversial pretrial detention crime bill; ditto for the voter rights reform and that curious hydrogen act that she has developed a near obsession over. If it's the polls she's upset about there's cause for that as well. Independents are adrift, Republicans are unified against her handling of Covid and Hispanics are not as sure as a bet as they have been for the Dems. The Indys lean fiscally conservative so roughing up the Legislature and their pork bill could play well with them. But the recent legislative session was not a disaster for the Governor--a mixed bag, yes. So putting a hot poker in the eyes of the lawmakers comes across as overreach and could hurt politically later in the election year. The uncertainty of a session--special or extraordinary--during a primary campaign with many competitive races and which would halt fund-raising for a time--is a delicate matter. That's especially so after she has alienated so many of the electeds as well as her progressive base with her increasing tack to the right out of fear of a conservative surge. Her best bet? Either a special session or extraordinary one where her veto can be overridden but also pass rebates (at her request) for gas price relief which would nationalize the session and give both sides a win. Anything more ambitious is a trek into a dark forest. There's much to ponder and that's the problem. After a session blessed with historic surpluses and that will rain down goodies on every corner of the state, the expectation was that MLG would settle into a rebuilding mode, soothing key constituencies and gradually moving the race into the "likely Dem" category. But her suddenly rocking the boat leaves this race unsettled and the political waters murky. As the saying goes: "Revenge is a dish best served cold" not in the heat of the moment.
MODERATE DEM SUPPORT Perhaps watching the Guv-legislative clash most closely are progressive House Democrats who are receiving stiff June primary challenges from moderate Dems. If that pork bill stays sunk they will be accused of not bringing home the all important bacon. Whether that happens or not it appears the progressives will have their hands full. A group that expects to raise considerable funding from pro-business interests such as oil and gas has formed the Working Together New Mexico PAC to target a half dozen House progressives as well as support Brian Colón for Attorney General and Joseph Maestas for State Auditor. Moderate Dem ABQ City Councilor Louis Sanchez is co-chair of the PAC with former PRC Commissioner Karen Montoya. He says: Our children, families, and businesses continue to grapple with what seems like endless crises surrounding lack of economic opportunity, poor education options, explosive crime, and a crippling addiction epidemic. It’s time for politicians to stop pandering to the far extremes and start solving our multitude of problems at home in New Mexico. The Dem challengers of progressives being supported by the PAC directed by consultant James Hallinan, are: Doreen Wonda Johnson House District #5, Cherise Quezada House District #26, Dr. Ravi Bhasker House District #38, Rudy Martinez House District #39, Joseph Sanchez, House District #40 and Henry Roybal House District #46. The PAC, which says it is focused on backing "commonsense Democrats," is also supporting Dem BernCo commission candidate Erin Muffoletto. SARITA LEAVES
Keller hailed Nair, the first woman to hold the top job, as a "transformative leader" who helped lead the city thru the pandemic. That she did but the escalating crime crisis the city faced during her tenure and her struggle to manage APD will also be hallmarks of her tenure. Insiders say Nair and other progressives at City Hall are upset with the Mayor’s turn to the right on crime and the inattention to the behavioral health crisis. The earth has shifted under Nair's feet and this is a good time for a reset. In addition to the council leaning more centrist, they also are asserting themselves more by demanding to reconfirm top Keller executives now that he has been re-elected. Never mind that the president of the USA has to win Senate confirmation for his cabinet picks just once, not again when he is re-elected. As for who replaces Nair, the obvious choice is Chief Operating Officer Lawrence Rael who previously served many years in the post. No-one will call Rael "transformational" but he does keep the trains running on time. And he is a moderate Hispanic male, a Dem constituency that has felt left out in the cold. As for Nair, walking in her shoes is like walking on hot coals. Her service is noted. DEM PREPRIMARY RESULTS There were no shocks when the state Democratic Party released results of their preprimary convention held earlier this month in Roswell. Still, the winners will do their best to build momentum and raise money from the results going into the June 7 primary. A candidate must receive at least 20 percent for an official ballot position. If not, they can get on the ballot by submitting additional petition signatures. In the closely watched Dem race for Attorney General, former Dem Party Chairman and State Auditor Brian Colón beat Bernalillo County District Attorney Raul Torrez 61 to 39 percent. Political consultant David Alcon says Colón "did well." In the hotly contested Dem Treasurer's race, former Sandoval County Treasurer Laura Montoya aced Heather Benavidez, earning 58 percent to Benavidez's 42. In the Auditor contest, Zack Quintero beat out Public Regulation Commissioner Joseph Maestas 62 percent to 38. Alcon says that's better than expected for the former MLG aide and is a boost the progressive Quintero needs. Maestas is expected to perform well in his native north come primary night. Quintero is from the Las Cruces area. Gabe Vasquez received 80 percent of the delegate support in the contest for the Dem nod for the southern congressional district. Darshan Patel, a first-timer on the political circuit, received 20 percent. Vasquez, a former Las Cruces city councilor, is expected to win the June primary and face GOP Congresswoman Yvette Herrell in November. The Dems say 1,141 delegates voted in their preprimary. THE BOTTOM LINES Some clean up from last week's monster blogs on candidate filing day. Rep Karen Bash is retiring after her her second term not her first and Rep. Susan Herrera is currently serving her second term. Rep. Willie Madrid is, of course, a Democrat and we erred with the first name of BernCo Assessor candidate Stephen Sais. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com)
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