!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd"> New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan <$BlogRSDUrl$> b:if cond='data:blog.pageType == "item" or data:blog.pageType == "static_page" or data:blog.pageType == "archive"'>
Blog Banner

Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Ben Ray Endorses Keller But Heinrich Silent And As Uballez Stays On Fence, Plus: Special Session Short And Sweetened With Food Stamp Cash; Fixes A Hole Before It Is Dug

When US Senators Ben Ray Lujan and Martin Heinrich jointly endorsed Santa Fe mayoral candidate Michael Garcia it was a one-two punch for the city councilor who also secured other prominent backing on his way to an easy win last Tuesday.

Flash forward to the December 9 ABQ mayoral runoff and Ben Ray has wasted no time in giving an official nod to Mayor Tim Keller but Martin Heinrich, who earned the blog nickname of "The First Endorser" for always having his finger on the endorsement trigger, did not join with Lujan this time. 

Not that Heinrich has any love for Darren White, the Republican Sheriff who is Keller's rival in the runoff. It was White who Heinrich defeated in 2008 to launch his congressional career. (Here's our Election Night wrap from that year.)

Heinrich is closely aligned with the progressive wing of the Dem party--more so than Lujan--and that puts him in the endorsement spotlight as progressive and third place mayoral finisher Alex Uballez calls for White's defeat but is still on the fence when it comes to an official endorsement of the two term mayor. 

There are strong ties between Heinrich and Uballez. The senator was instrumental in getting Uballez appointed as the US Attorney here under President Biden, an appointment that set in motion his run for elective office. 

Also, Heinrich is now in the middle of a raging battle over that US Senate vote reopening the government and that has inflamed progressives against more moderate Dems who voted for the opening. Heinrich sided with the progressives (as did Lujan) in voting to keep the shutters drawn on the federal government.

And another also, Heinrich has a home near the Nob Hill/UNM area where Uballez performed best. It was from there that Heinrich started out in politics in 2003 as an ABQ city councilor. Then there's the see-saw relationship Heinrich and Keller have had over the years. 

With all that background The First Endorser may just let Lujan take his title away for this election. 

 MAYOR '25 (Cont.)

Uballez
KOB-TV will host a 5 p.m. mayoral debate today with ABQ Mayor Tim Keller jousting with Republican Darren White. Meanwhile, readers weigh in on how Alex Uballez, the third place finisher in last Tuesday's initial election, is holding back an endorsement of fellow Dem Keller and which we blogged about Monday: 

Reader Xavier Medina Vidal writes: 

Joe, I am challenging your assumption that Uballez is missing the train. I'm asking that you explain to your readers the basis of your assumption. I’d say it’s fair to ask you how you arrived at this given your insights into NM politics

Thanks for the inquiry. We cautioned that Uballez could miss the train not that he has. Our reasoning is  fairly simple. If Uballez wants a clear path to a future in state politics, he does not need to alienate the Keller crowd so he has to carefully balance his dissent with Keller and his expected eventual endorsement of him. That's more so if he has his eye on working with the city. Dissenters to that view would argue that Uballez only needs his small but dedicated progressive base if he wants to advance politically.

An ABQ reader writes:

If Uballez was truly cut out to be mayor, then he either pisses or gets off the pot and shows some leadership with those who are his most ardent supporters and says he will not support Keller, or he takes them along on a convincing journey and explains why voting for Keller should be done. Taking a stance is a sign of leadership and being wishy-washy and coy is a sign of what? I am not sure what it is a sign of, but it does not have a good look. If he shows some leadership and courage, I could remain interested in him.  

GETTING SPECIAL

Acting Gov. Morales

The sky will not fall on New Mexico's 460,000 SNAP recipients. 

The special session of the legislature called by MLG made a speedy dash of it Monday in a three hour meet where they authorized a $162 million spend just in case the reopening of the federal government falls through. 

Food stamps were already assured through November but Dem legislators and the Guv said they would rather be safe than sorry--and did so sooner rather than later. Most Republicans agreed. The measure passed 52-9 in the House and 30-6 in the Senate. 

Collectors of vintage La Politica photos may want to make a keeper of the one posted here. It is of Acting Gov. Howie Morales signing the SNAP legislation sent up to him. He wields the yellow pen because MLG is attending a Brazil climate conference (nice work if you can get it).

He rarely gets the spotlight so let's have the Lieutenant Governor take us outta here today. 

It's yours, Howie. . 

No New Mexico families will go hungry thanks to the efficient work of our state legislators and the leadership of Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham. I am proud that we came together in the best spirit as New Mexicans to make sure vulnerable families in our state are taken care of. This legislation ensures New Mexicans can feed their families this holiday season.

And this gentle readers is. . . 

The Home of New Mexico Politics.  

E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com)

Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here.

Monday, November 10, 2025

Special Session Today Is A Stark Reminder Of Welfare State Status; SNAP Benefits At Highest Rate In Nation Here, And: Uballez Has A Train To Catch; Will He Make It?

With a deal to open the federal government finally working its way through Congress, there seems little reason for New Mexico's lawmakers to gather in Santa Fe today. But the Governor jumped the gun, called them back and did not call them off so. . . 

About today's one day special legislative session called by MLG in reaction to the interruption of SNAP benefits due to the federal government shutdown. . .

The SNAP debacle is a stark reminder of the state's welfare state status and how economic development has passed us by. Over 21 percent of the population--about 460,000 New Mexicans--depend on SNAP. That's the highest rate in the nation and has been for some time. The low-wage, low employment economy in a state of just 2.1 million just hangs around year after year.

The Governor could have postponed today's special since the immediate funding problem for November appears resolved. But the Dems and GOP have been on war footing. Her office gave this reasoning for today's special session: 

The special session is moving forward Monday because Republicans in Congress still refuse to end this needless government shut down. While we are relieved that November benefits have been released, we are still cautious about relying on future SNAP funding being available. We’re not taking any chances with 460,000 New Mexicans’ food security.

That reasoning is no longer operative now that the government is about to reopen but the politicos will have no problem filling the void with plenty of talk while sending the special session bill to Mr. and Mrs. New Mexico.

 TRAIN LEAVING?

Is Alex Uballez risking the train leaving the station without him?

The former US attorney came in third in the ABQ mayoral election last week, getting 18.79 percent percent of the vote (not the 20 percent his campaign claims). That vote came mainly from progressive Democrats and slowed Dem Mayor Keller who now faces a December 9 runoff election with second place finisher Darren White

But Uballez is dragging his feet on an outright endorsement  of Keller who received 36 percent of the vote to White's 31 percent. Uballez' campaign says "he’s standing committed to defeating Darren White so he can’t turn the city over to Trump."

That may be all Keller needs from Uballez but more is always best. 

While Uballez is holding back and using that nearly 19 percent as a bargaining chip with the mayor, progressive Dem gubernatorial candidate Deb Haaland is filling the vacuum, coming with an early and robust endorsement of Keller. That's not a shabby replacement for Uballez in Dem dominated ABQ. 

Also Indivisible ABQ, a prominent progressive group, is prepping their endorsement of Keller who is seeking an unprecedented third four year term:

IABQ is. . .working toward an endorsement for Mayor Keller. Darren White’s record and alignment with the Trump agenda, ICE, and anti-immigrant policies are fundamentally at odds with our values and the communities we stand with. To finalize an endorsement, we’ll need at least 120 member votes through our online platform. Stay tuned for an official endorsement announcement.

And no doubt here will be more progressives coming aboard with Keller as fear mounts of a right-wing takeover of City Hall. 

Uballez earned a ticket Election Night but will he miss the train that could keep him on track for future success?

This is the Home of New Mexico Politics.    

E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com)

Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here.

Thursday, November 06, 2025

Election Night Clippings And The Runoff To Come

Keller and White 
There won't be much time to rest for ABQ Mayor Tim Keller and Darren White. Their mayoral runoff election is December 9 and their first joint TV appearance is already set for next Tuesday, Nov. 11 at 5 p.m. on KOB. That's not prime time but will set the stage for what will come in the month after. 
 
The KOAT-Journal debate is set for Nov. 24 and early voting for the run off will be held Dec. 1-6.
 
How about that turnout in the ABQ mayoral race? Nearly 135,000 voted in the contest and no one saw it coming. 
 
Fifty-five percent of the vote was cast early and absentee. The 45 percent cast on Election Day was far above expectations. Much of it was prompted by phone banks and other voter contact by progressive groups supporting Alex Uballez. He surged to 19 percent and finished third. What he won was the chance to sit in the catbird's seat and have a say in who will be the next mayor. 

These are some of the groups that boosted that late turnout that  oosted Uballez as well as two progressive Dem women running for City Council in Westside and Valley Council Districts 1 and 3New Mexico Working Families Party, Organization Power in Numbers, Olé New Mexico and New Mexico Native Vote 
 
Mayor Keller's 36 percent finish left him far short of the 50 percent he will need in the December 9 runoff against Republican Darren White. Getting the progressive supporters of Uballez back on board--many of whom have tired of Keller--will be key to the outcome of the runoff. Chatter has already surfaced about Uballez perhaps joining the Keller administration in a third term. Let the negotiations begin.
 
So far Uballez has said:
 
 (Let's) make sure we unify to vote against Darren White and keep the city out of his hands. We can have a safer, stronger city. It will take all of us working together.
 
The Keller campaign against White will be relentless and negative. White will try to position himself as an agent of change but at 62 and with a tall stack of political baggage, it will be difficult. 
 
The negative ads based on his past and the constant association of his candidacy with Donald Trump will be the Dems mainstays against him.
 
BOND RATINGS 
 
The worst performing bond ABQ bond issue was the Metro Redevelopment Bond that won only 60.2 percent voter support.
 
Shall the City of Albuquerque issue $2,540,000 of its general obligation bonds to plan. . .to improve non-right of way and right of way land, property, facilities or infrastructure owned by the City of Albuquerque for Metropolitan Redevelopment Projects.
 
The $51 million bond for street repairs was the most popular, getting 79 percent approval.
 
MAYOR MONEY  

Mayor Keller was the only mayoral contender to qualify for $755,000 in public financing in the first round of voting. He will stick with public money for the second round and receive about $377,000 from the city. A PAC is also expected to continue outside support.

How much money will White need to raise privately to effectively compete against Keller? Probably over $500,000 comes the answer from the consultants. White's campaign plans to seek donations from Republicans statewide. 

SANCHEZ SWAN SONG
 
With a fourth place showing of only 6 percent, Dem Councilor Louie Sanchez won't have much leverage in the runoff election but Darren White will try his best to get what support Sanchez can offer--after they both attacked one another. Sanchez, who leaves the Council in December after one term, said of his defeat:
 
I could not have done any of this or gotten as close as we did without the support of amazing donors, volunteers, and supporters. . .I decided to run for Mayor because I'm tired of watching failure after failure come out of our city government. Sitting on city council and watching the failure was too much to take. I’m very sad for our city today, but I believe that one day we will be able to choose a better path. 
 
Sanchez received 6 percent in the September Journal poll and never moved off of it. 
 
ADIOS ARMIJO
 
Mayling Armjo had just 1 percent in that poll but she finished with six percent Election Night. She said of her effort:
 
 The issues that drove this campaign — safer streets, stronger neighborhoods, and real accountability— still matter. . . I’ll keep holding our city’s leaders to their promises and fighting for the Albuquerque our families deserve. This isn’t the end — it’s a reminder that change demands persistence.
 
Republican Michelle Garcia Holmes, a former mayoral candidate, supported Dem Sanchez in Tuesday's election. She said of the results and the runoff:
 
The numbers can predict the future. The results should be very disappointing to us all. Albuquerque is dominated by progressive liberals who will most likely vote Keller in again.  
 
THE COVERAGE   
 
Joe Monahan
From reader Justin Rogers on ranked choice voting:  
 
Hi Joe, I was listening to the KANW election night broadcast and wanted to comment on your discussion about waiting for Santa Fe's mayoral results which required eliminating candidates and counting second choices in the Ranked Choice Voting process. 
 
Panelists said it could take quite a while before we had results. I noted that once all the ballots were in, the Clerk ran the process quite rapidly, and we had winners decided before 10:30 pm on election night. Meanwhile in Albuquerque with the separate runoff election, we won't have final results for another month. Seems like the instant runoff is the preferable wait! 
 
Among other comments on our Election Night coverage on KANW 89.1 FM was this from Kelley D:
 
I listened to the KANW coverage. The first time. Wow. I was impressed. You all did an excellent job with your analysis. That said, Tim ran in nice guy mode. Taking hits from all opponents, especially White. I predict he goes not nice Tim. And he needs to.  I don’t love Tim, but White worries me. I’m having RJ Berry PTSD. Add, I see (former Governor) Susana Martinez when I see or hear him. Disingenuous. 
 
Reader and listener Steve Meyer wrote:

Thanks for another great election evening.      
 
Thank you, Steve, and to all who tuned in on the radio as well as the blog for our election coverage. We are grateful for the support. 
 
I'm Joe Monahan reporting from Albuquerque and. . . 
 
This is the Home of New Mexico Politics.    

E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com)

Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here.

Wednesday, November 05, 2025

Keller Takes First But White Keeps It Close; Duo To Meet In Mayoral Runoff December 9; Uballez Places Third, Plus: Council Outcomes Incuding An Upset; Betzen Wins Big In APS School Board Race; In Santa Fe Councilor Garcia Will Be Next Mayor

Mayor Keller
Sometimes you get a bit more than you wish for. That's what happened in the ABQ mayoral race Tuesday night as Mayor Tim Keller drew former Bernalillo County Sheriff Darren White as his opponent in a December 9 runoff election. 

BernCo results here. All state results here.  

Of his five foes Keller most wanted to face White in a runoff but perhaps not with White breathing down his neck by getting within five points of overtaking him for first place honors. 

The final mayoral results had Keller with 35.55 percent; White 30.86 percent; Alex Uballez 18.7; Louie Sanchez 6.47; Mayling Armijo 5.6 and Eddie Varela 1.2 percent.

That difference of just 4.69 percent between Keller and White puffed a wave of energy through the beleaguered Republican camp with Topic A being whether the close run would mean significant campaign money for White.

Dems think the GOP is blowing smoke, that a close call does not translate into a runoff where Keller will have a distinct advantage in a Democratic dominated city. 

That advantage was seen in a poll released last night while we were on the air at KANW. It was paid for by the PAC supporting Keller and was conducted by GBAO Associates in anticipation of a Keller-White runoff:

Ascend ABQ PAC polled 400 likely voters Oct. 16 -19 in anticipation of a runoff election. Among those who had a preference, 45% said they were likely to support Keller over White. White earned 38% of likely runoff votes. 17% say they would be undecided if those two candidates were their choices. The margin of error was 4.9%, according to GBAO pollsters who conducted the poll.

Not bad but it's not 50 percent. The pollster adds: 

When voters learn more about White, Keller's lead grows and he passes the 50 percent mark.

"Learn more about White" is a euphemism for throwing the kitchen sink at him. That's exactly what's coming White's way as a fired up Keller made clear to supporters at the downtown Arrive Hotel last night: 

We've seen that show before that he brings. The hate, the division, the fake answers, seemingly waving a magic wand that will solve all of our problems when we know it is harder than that. It takes grit, it takes guts, it takes a real plan. 

Of course, the mayor threw out the Trump threat that appeared to drive some of the record turnout of 132,000 for the election, 

White answered with his own speech to a gathering at the Courtyard Marriott that included Republican City Councilors Dan Lewis and Renee Grout both of whom won their re-election bids Tuesday:

Voters said enough is enough and we want change. Crime and homelessness are destroying the city we love and that was on the ballot as well. Voters spoke loud and clear they want a new direction for our city and we're going to deliver it.

Keller will continue with public financing in the runoff, collecting $377,000. White failed to qualify for public financing and is going private. 

GOP analyst Bob Cornelius told our audience what White must do:

He has to take that close second place and sell it to his donors and national Republicans to quickly raise money. Keller will get that  public money for the runoff plus more support from an outside PAC. White will need to do the same to compete. 

It's far from certain that White will be able to capture the hearts of those many Republicans who have nothing but bitterness for him after years of infighting in the GOP, so much so that some top GOP donors were giving money to conservative Dem Louie Sanchez in the mayoral race.

For Keller the first order of business is getting Alex Uballez on board with his campaign. His 19 percent showing was solid considering his lagging fundraising. He did throw a bone to Keller in his concession speech. His campaign said:  

Uballez threw his support to Telles and Garcia in upcoming run-offs, calls on City to vote against Darren White.

That's a start but the mayor hoping to make history by winning a third consecutive term still needs a strong embrace from his progressive rival--almost as much as White needs a large campaign war chest.  

COUNCIL ACTION 

The Telles that Uballez mentioned is progressive Dem Stephanie Tellez who pulled off an upset win in City Council District 1 on the westside and will face Republican Joshua Neal in the runoff. Candidates Ahren Griego and Daniel Leiva were left in their dust.

Teresa Garcia is the candidate who came in second to three term Dem incumbent Councilor Klarissa Pena, prompting a runoff in District 3 in the Westside/Valley seat. 

In District 5 on the northwest side, Republican Councilor Dan Lewis beat out a challenge from Athenea Allen, wife of BernCo Sheriff John Allen.

In Distrcit 7  in the NE Heights Tammy Fiebelkorn ran unopposed on the ballot and won a second term,  

In District 9 in the far NE Heights GOP Councilor Renee Grout passed Dem Colton Newman to take the win.

In that hotly contested APS School Board battle in District 3, it wasn't even close. Retired teacher Rebecca Betzen bested School Board President 50 to 40 with the remainder going to Isaac Flores who had quit the race but his name remained on the ballot. 

In Santa Fe mayoral front-runner and City Councilor Michael Garcia lived up to the name and easily won the eight way contest to succeed Mayor Alan Webber. Like ABQ, Santa Fe saw high turnout.   

This is the Home of New Mexico Politics.    

E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com)

Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here.

Tuesday, November 04, 2025

Election Day '25 is Here: Suspense Over Who Finishes In Top Two In ABQ Mayor Contest; Ranked Choice Voting In Santa Fe Balloting Adds To Drama, Plus: Join Our Team For Live Election Night Results And Analysis On KANW 89.1 FM and KANW.ORG

 

Tune in to our live Election Night coverage beginning at 6:30 p.m on public radio KANW 89.1 FM and streamed at KANW.ORG.

Polls close at 7 p.m. Bernallio County results here

There will be suspense tonight in the ABQ and Santa Fe mayoral elections despite there being two front-runners--Mayor Tim Keller in ABQ and City Councilor Michael Garcia in Santa Fe. 

We wait to see if Keller can get 50 percent of the vote to get re-elected outright and avoid a December 9 runoff. If not but he still finishes in first as expected, who will take second and face him in that runoff? That battle appears to be between Republican Darren White and Dem City Councilor Louie Sanchez with White the favorite.

In Santa Fe the suspense is over how many rounds of counting it will take to elect a new mayor. Up there the runoff takes place tonight for all eight candidates because ranked choice voting is used. 

That's where voters rank all the candidates in their order of preference. If none of them get 50 percent in the first round, the vote-counting goes to a second round and keeps going until one of them reaches the magic number. 

It is possible but not likely that a candidate who finishes second in the first round of voting could actually end up in first and become mayor-elect.  

Santa Fe County Clerk Katharine Clark says ranked choice voting could mean a later election night for the City Different than ABQ because of the time needed to count. She says the counting will be streamed live for all to watch on the county's YouTube channel.

Another reason for more suspense in ABQ is the dearth of polling from the ABQ Journal. The paper came with a late September survey but that was the one and only.

For the first time the paper's new no endorsement policy for political candidates kicked in for a mayoral election, the latest example of how the newshounds are backing off from getting too close to the fire in this polarized era.

HOW MANY? 

Early voting was on the low side in ABQ and Santa Fe. We're thinking total turnout comes in around 95,000 in ABQ compared to 118,000 in 2021.

SETTING EXPECTATIONS 

The Mayor Keller camp has been working overtime to tamp down expectations. In a final statement on the subject they said: 

We’re not taking anything for granted — our team is working hard to secure one of the top two spots and make the December runoff. Until the polls close tomorrow, Keller volunteers are knocking doors, making calls, and reminding everyone to get out and vote. 

So the campaign would be alright with Keller finishing second? If that happened there would be a political firestorm in this town. 

Progressive Dem Alex Uballez wrapped things up by urging his supporters to have a good time at his E. Nite party:

Feel the energy, the hugs, the hope, the joy. Whether you knocked doors, made calls, donated, or simply believed this night is for you. Let’s celebrate how far we’ve come…and look forward to what’s next. Together. We Win.

Louie Sanchez sent voters into today with this message:

Why Vote Louie Sanchez for Mayor? Because Albuquerque deserves leadership that puts safety, accountability, and families first. Louie has real experience — not politics — and a vision to make our city stronger, safer, and more united Election Night is our moment to connect, reflect, and cheer for this people-powered movement we built together, a stronger, safer Albuquerque that puts community first. 

THE PARTIES 

Sanchez will watch the returns at his home on ABQ's Westside 

Mayor Keller will have an Election Night party at Arrive Hotel at 7th and Central Downtown. 

Alex Uballez party headquarters will be at Flamenco Works at 506 Central Downtown.

Darren White will host supporters at the Courtyard Marriott at 5151 Journal Center Blvd. NE

KANW ELECTION NIGHT

Maestas
We welcome back to the KANW microphones tonight ABQ state Senator Antonio "Moe" Maestas who has served from ABQ's District 26 since 2022 and before that 16 years in the state House. He is an ABQ native, took his law degree from the UNM School of Law and is an attorney with over 25 years of experience. 

If the issue is big in Santa Fe you'll find him in the middle of the fray. He's also a college sports fanatic now in ecstasy over the UNM football team's success. As for tonight's proceedings, he says: "Politics is the wildest sport of all. Tonight is the big bowl game." 

Garratt

Dem state Rep. Joy Garratt is also back with us for another Election Night stint. This one is especially timely because she represents Westside House District 29 as she has since 2019. That area will be a hot spot tonight with the four way District 1 City Council battle and the two way District 5 Council race with Republican Dan Lewis and Democrat Athenea Allen. Being a retired educator, Joy is also captivated by the Danielle Gonzales-Rebecca Betzen clash for the ABQ School Board

She says of tonight's races: "I can't predict who will win but someone is going to get schooled."

CONSULTANT CORNER

Cornelius
Abeyta
Dem Sisto Abeyta is a longtime political consultant and lobbyist who can spend hours crunching numbers and not even need eye drops. He can also tell you how every precinct in Valencia county voted in the last 12 presidential elections--in case you're curious. He says of tonight, "Bruce King once told me to never make election predictions. I wished I had listened."

Republican consultant Bob Cornelius, a Tatum NM native who has been busy consulting Texas legislative candidates, will do anything to get a political fix. He drove here from Austin to continue contributing his insights to public radio. Appreciate that, Bob, although the ranks of GOP candidates is pretty thin this year. 

Bob says of tonight: "I came here to see Republicans win, but I'll settle for some chicharrones."

Kinsey

And we welcome to the Election Night broadcast news pro Jenny Kinsey, a reporter for the Mountain West News Bureau based at KANW. She'll be filing reports from around the city as the election news breaks. 

Jenny has worked as a freelance journalist for NPR and other outlets and has a masters in journalism and political science from East Texas A&M University. 

About tonight she says: "It's like herding cattle. I'm ready."

Should be a fun one. See you tonight from the KANW studios. 

This is the Home of New Mexico Politics.    

E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com)

Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here.

Monday, November 03, 2025

Election Eve '25: Money Talks; Keller's Final Barrage Of TV Ads Unanswered by Underfinanced Foes As Campaigns Make Final Pitches, Plus: Flap Over Video Clip Falls Flat, Stansbury Joins Mayoral Campaign And Our Election Night Coverage

The grandmothers and grandfathers of Albuquerque control the ABQ election--not the TikTokkers, the Facebook fans or the instagram addicts that the underfunded mayoral candidates have been confined to--with the exception of Mayor Tim Keller

Let's dive in. . .

The Mayor has come with a seeming death blow for his five opponents hoping to take him out of first place in the Tuesday balloting. It also improves his chances of starting any runoff election with a commanding lead that would make the runoff perfunctory.

That blow is the purchase of $111,000 in TV ads for the final days of the campaign, a sum unmatched by his foes, none of whom have more than a paltry TV presence. Add the $111K to a $93,000 Keller TV buy on Oct. 14 and that's an essentially unanswered media spend of over $200,000.

These are not immense sums in the course of most campaigns but they are exaggerated because Keller owns the TV screens, increasing the impact of the ads. 

In TV talk it appears Keller is buying at least 1,000 gross rating points for the final stretch. That means the targeted audience sees his ad about 10 times.

Why it matters is that the majority of voters in this election are probably over 55. To be sure, they are checking on the grandkids on social media but when it comes to what's going on in politics, they are still largely absorbed in their TV screens:

Among U.S. adults aged 55 and over, approximately 74% of those aged 50-64 and 87% of those 65 and older say they often get news from television, according to the latest 2025 Pew Research Center data. This means that for adults 55+, the percentage who often get news from TV is between 74% and 87%, conservatively around 80% when combining these age groups.

TV is big for the senior set but social media is not to be scoffed at and Keller's spending there shows its growing importance. 

Mailing to mailboxes--not just email--is another traditional campaign tool where significant campaign money is still dedicated. 

All of the Mayor's spending on this media was made possible by over $755,000 in public financing he qualified for--the only candidate to do so.

KELLER'S ADVANTAGE 

Keller's TV ads are all positive. They do not mention his opposition even obliquely. Instead he takes a mild jab at the news media for not covering what he says are the auspicious events of his administration. 

Is it fair to say that for a majority of voters Keller's opposition barely exists? Not barely but certainly it is not notable especially with the advantage he has with the perception-shaping power of 30 second TV ads repeated incessantly.

The Keller domination of the airwaves also came into play on the only broadcast TV debate of the campaign on KOAT, an important event for those older voters. But as analyst Greg Payne and others said Keller's performance that night was "unflappable,"

A "make good" debate sponsored by the Journal after criticism that they and KOAT unfairly excluded mayoral hopefuls Mayling Armijo and Eddy Varela had a fairly wide audience. But it ended with the same verdict as the TV encounter--Keller kept his cool and walked away unwounded.

THE VIDEO FLAP 

Two weeks ago during a non-televised mayoral forum before a real estate group a video clip hit the socials showing Keller having a short bout of temper over homelessness in the city. He declared:

 If you want to just believe the sensational claims being thrown around, then vote for them; I don’t want your vote," when discussing homeless encampment clearings.  

ABQ mayoral candidates

The full video clip shows the context of those remarks and how Keller was reacting to comments made about the homeless by other candidates:

I am not going to let some of those comments go that we just heard. It is not illegal to be homeless (applause ) and you want to ship homeless people out of here by force? That is illegal. That is immoral and it's wrong. I know that's what would make you feel better but I will never do it and also you can't do it. If you want to just believe the sensational claims being thrown around, then vote for them; I don’t want your vote.

Keller lost his temper because of what he viewed as outrageous viewpoints about the homeless not because he was flippantly dismissing the electorate. But the comments were twisted. 

The incident was a blip on the radar that did not break out from behind the walls of social media and was probably a welcome statement by a large majority of ABQ residents.

As Keller seeks an unprecedented third consecutive term the deep exasperation of the opposition over the state of the city is palpable and understandable. But their unbridled rage needed to be packaged and presented in a robust, calculated, professional campaign--not a series of social media hen-peckings that couldn't pierce the flesh of a hummingbird. 

The bottom line? Keller is stuck in polling purgatory with an anemic 42 percent approval rating and needed the big money to gain inches. But If we are to believe that campaigns still matter, there is not much doubt where we're headed Election Night. 

While Keller was ruling the TV airwaves, he was calling on a Dem party heavyweight to help close out his ground game.

Rep. Melanie Stansbury led a Sunday afternoon phone bank for the incumbent. Her popularity with progressives is unmatched and they are a must have for a Keller victory. 

Former US Attorney Alex Uballez, a progressive, was seen early on as a potential threat to Keller by splitting the progressive with the mayor. 

That threat remains but is less potent because of Uballez' inability to raise sufficient campaign funds. Still, Uballez could capture enough progressives to keep Keller from running away with the election and making any runoff more challenging for him. 

Uballez
Uballez gave a closing speech online as he presided over a phone bank of his own. 

Dem consultant Sisto Abeyta pointed out that ABQ's North Valley In District One and SE Heights Council District Six are areas where Keller has had landslides in his past elections but this year Uballez is competing for that block. The result is Rep. Stansbury's final hours push for Keller. 

STANSBURY AND TAPPER 

Like Keller, Stansbury puts a burr under the saddles of their opposition. She is unapologetically progressive and capable of making cogent and powerful arguments before the state as well as the nation. The problem they (and MLG) present to their conservative foes is that their errors on the public stage are small. 

That was this case with an interview Stansbury conducted with CNN's Jake Tapper that conservatives went ballistic over, claiming that it was a take down of the congresswoman. 

She did avoid a question asking why she hasn't asked Senators Heinrich and Lujan to end the government shutdown. But it was a standard if annoying deflection from a politician. Tapper also got the better of her over whey the shutdown was occurring. On the other hand, her vigorous attack on the Trump administration over food stamps being cut off resonated with Dem viewers. 

Keller, Stansbury and MLG are the three state politicians with the ability to advance their causes to a state and national audience. We get that the Democratic polices from the trio is fair game but you can't beat heavyweights with featherweights. 

Conservatives need a New Mexico bench and they don't have one. They lack even one member of the five member congressional delegation. They don't get to go on CNN or any other national media. 

As for Senators Heinrich and Lujan, with New Mexico so dependent on federal funding the pressure on them to end the government shutdown will only grow. That CNN question Stansbury evaded looms large. 

WHITE'S CLOSING

Former BernCo Sheriff Darren White came with one of his last ads and aimed it at Republicans and other conservative voters. It features that old reliable of sanctuary city. The transcript:

Mayor Keller has turned Albuquerque into a sanctuary for criminals. Like this guy from Venezuela. He strangled his wife and because of our sanctuary laws, he was right back out on the streets and a month later he committed murder. Or this triple shooting at a migrant stash house in the Heights. Mayor Keller protects all these criminals. I won't. Darren White for mayor. I'm Darren White and I approve this
This is the Home of New Mexico Politics.    

E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com)

Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here.

website design by limwebdesign