!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd"> New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan <$BlogRSDUrl$> b:if cond='data:blog.pageType == "item" or data:blog.pageType == "static_page" or data:blog.pageType == "archive"'>
Blog Banner

Wednesday, October 22, 2025

Billionaires Come To Aid Of Four APS School Board Candidates; Influx Of Cash Brings Debate Over School Vouchers to Fore; Netflix Co-Founder Plays A Part; Opposition Waning?

Danielle Gonzales
Is there a crack in the dam when it comes to ardent opposition to school vouchers for ABQ and New Mexico as a means of improving the long-ailing public education system? If there is, could that crack get larger after the election for four ABQ School Board seats on the November 4 ballot

Those questions arise with the news of a major influx of money into the campaign coffers of four of the candidates from a PAC funded by two billionaires promoting national education changes.

The education and political establishment here has for years drawn a line in the sand over vouchers that would allow parents to use taxpayer money to send their kids to private schools. But continued abysmal public school ratings--after an historic and massive investment of oil boom money to improve them--has led us and others to change positions and advocate for a limited voucher program as part of the solution so urgently needed.

The out of state PAC donations--around $300,000--appear to be the largest ever for an APS school board election and went to candidates that have received strong local business support. 

The board is currently controlled by a moderate pro-business faction holding four seats and union-friendly board members in the other three. But power could switch back to the union/teacher faction depending on the election results thus the influx of funds into the races. 

School vouchers are primarily a state issue so the impact of the election is more in a psychological vein. 

Board members getting that pro-voucher money may feel more emboldened to advocate for them should they win their races. That in turn could influence state government. Vouchers have received little attention from the current Board. 

Finance reports show the action fund has funneled money to four candidates — more than $15,000 to APD board president Danielle Gonzales in District 3, about $17,300 to board vice president Courtney Jackson in District 7, $13,000 to David Ams in District 6 and more than $5,800 to Joshua Martinez in District 5. . . The PAC also hired a Washington, D.C.-based media firm to produce $98,000 in so-called “independent expenditure” ads supporting those candidates. An additional $30,000 went to local polling.

THE NETFLIX FACTOR  

Reed Hastings 
The largess comes from Nextflix co-founder Reed Hastings and hedge fund manager John Arnold who have spent more than $200 million nationally advocating for school vouchers as well as charter schools

Netflix has been a major contributor to the ABQ economy by making the city a center for their film and TV productions. 

They have also advanced film education and jobs. CNM is establishing a NM Film Academy at the Rail Yards made possible by the large industry presence here. 

APS says student enrollment has dropped below 66,000 with an annual budget of $2.25 billion. Enrollment peaked at 97,000 in 2021. Stagnant population growth--especially among school age children--has been the reason along with the growth of charter schools and other alternatives. 

The interest from the billionaires in the APS Board comes amid a continuing wave of depressing news over the lack of progress at APS with its many minority students:

Underserved eighth grade students in Albuquerque Public Schools are not hitting the goals the Board of Education set for them in math proficiency, according to a report released last week. The board also received a report that showed mixed results in early literacy goals, specifically the number of first and second graders reading proficiently. However, that report found that some students were hitting their goals. The first, second and eighth graders monitored in each report are “Yazzie-Martinez students,” defined by the 2018 landmark ruling that determined New Mexico was not providing its underserved students with an adequate education.

School vouchers have been seen as an existential threat to public school funding and Arizona's over use of them is often used as an example. But a limited and well-defined program for ABQ and New Mexico parents could be gaining momentum as those once-in-a-lifetime dollars flowing from oil did not move the needle. 

Teachers' union opposition to vouchers remains adamant but the APS school board candidates receiving the PAC money are not rejecting it, perhaps a sign that vouchers may no longer be as much of a political lightning rod and could capture some momentum in ABQ and at the Roundhouse

APS BOARD RACES 

 More on those four seats up for election to the seven member APS board: 

The Albuquerque Chamber of Commerce endorsed Gonzales, Jackson, Ams, and Martinez. The Albuquerque Teachers Federation endorsed Betzen, Bowman, and Wood-Hegne. The union did not endorse a candidate for District 5.

DistrictCandidate (Faction)Stance on Vouchers/School Choice
3Danielle Gonzales (Incumbent, Pro-Business)Supports expanded public choice (e.g., magnets/charters); no explicit voucher endorsement, but backs business reforms for competition.
3Rebecca Betzen (ATF/Union)Opposes; prioritizes public funding equity over private diversion.
5Joshua Martinez (Pro-Business)Favors "parental options" and partnerships; aligns with choice but silent on vouchers specifically.
5Brian Laurent (Independent/Union Ties)Focuses on accountability in public schools; wary of funding shifts to private.
6David Ams (Pro-Business)Emphasizes innovation/charters; open to broader choice to boost outcomes.
6Warigia Bowman (ATF/Union)Strongly opposes; advocates for robust public investments.
7Courtney Jackson (Incumbent, Pro-Business)Supports strategic public enhancements; no voucher push.
7Kristin Wood-Hegner (ATF/Union)Explicitly opposes vouchers, calling them harmful to public equity.

LABEL CHALLENGED

ABQ District 5 City Council candidates Athena Allen, who is challenging Republican Councilor Dan Lewis, was called a progressive Democrat on the Tuesday blog but she said she doesn't identify that way:  

I do want to push back on being labeled a “progressive Democrat.” Labels box candidates in unfairly. I’m a Democrat who works in national security, and public safety is core to who I am--not just as the spouse of a law enforcement official, but through my work every day. I have support from Democrats, Independents, and Republicans who appreciate that I’m mission-driven and focused on better representation for the Westside. 

Allen is married to BernCo Sheriff John Allen. Her political consultant is Neri Holguin who mainly handles progressive Dem candidates. 

This is the Home of New Mexico Politics.    

E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com)

Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here.

Tuesday, October 21, 2025

Keller Preps For Round Two; Predicts There Will Be An ABQ Mayor Run-Off; Plus: Mayor's Second TV Ad Continues Gaslighting Over Media Coverage, And: Lewis Vs. Allen On ABQ's Westside

There will be a run-off election predicts the ABQ mayoral candidate most likely to get the most votes November 4. 

Mayor Tim Keller was asked in a radio interview whether he believed there would be a run-off election which occurs if none of the six candidates achieve 50 percent of the vote. He responded without elaboration: "Yes, I do."

The full interview is here.  

Keller's prediction is shared by the great majority of observers who site the number of candidates and Keller's 42 percent approval rating. 

The most likely opponent for Keller in a run-off appears to be Republican and former BernCo Sheriff Darren White. But Republicans who have had a falling out with him fear he is already looking like dead money in a run-off with Democrat Keller in a Democratic city. They are conjuring memories of the 62-38 whopping that Keller gave Republican Dan Lewis in the 2017 mayoral run-off. 

Keller made his comments in an interview with Eddy Aragon of KIVA radio who ran against Keller in a three way race in 2021 and ever since has bashed him on the airwaves. But Aragon, 50, points out the pair did go to St. Pius High at the same time and are friendly. Keller sat for an amiable half-hour interview with Aragon at his 11th floor City Hall office.

Keller was also asked who he would vote for in the New York mayoral election, also set for Nov. 4, if he was a resident there. He said he would vote for Dem Socialist Zohran Mamdani:

His number one idea is to create an ABQ Community Safety Department. That is high praise from a candidate from New York.

Keller also said that if re-elected he would double the number of speed cameras in the city, warning: "You'll be annoyed." That's a safe prediction. 

The civilian ACS Keller mentioned is a new approach and backs up APD officers. It has been featured in a number of national news reports.

SAME AS FIRST

Second verse same as the first. So goes Keller's second TV ad of the campaign. 

Again he is pictured with a young, lively woman posing as a cheery news reporter who with Keller guides viewers though a "pop quiz" showcasing neighborhoods and projects the Mayor says have improved the city.

As in his first ad when he argued, "we're getting a lot more done than the news media is telling you about," he continues his gaslighting at the end of this ad. The transcript: 

Narrator: Another pop quiz. True or false? Tim Keller led the redevelopment of 7th and Central. Winrock Mall, the Railards, the Bio Park, Sawmill, facilities at the Balloon Park, and South San Jose Boxing Gym.  He also cleaned up Wells Park, Westgate Park, and Phil Chacon Park. We have more police on the street and more safe places to go. 

Keller: A lot more than the media is telling you about. 

Every mayor blames the media for not focusing on the "good news" but Keller has taken it to a new level by including the accusation in his paid media. He is clearly mistaken as a simple Google search for every project he mentions will bring up numerous news stories about the projects mentioned in the ads. 

(For example, here are results of a search for news stories on "Winrock redevelopment."

JOURNO 101 

The focus of news coverage has naturally been on homelessness and crime which are the major problems facing the city and of much more concern to voters than planting trees at a city park. Both deserve coverage and both get it. 

The emphasis is indeed on the undeniable spread of homelessness and crime in ABQ this past decade. That's because those problems have caused a deterioration in the quality of life in the state's largest city. There's no conspiracy to deprive the Mayor of glory.

Now, Keller's supporters can argue and they do that he has done a good job--the best he can--addressing those issues and can add that those problems are somewhat national in scope. What they can't argue is that news organizations did not cover what makes him look best. 

Keller doesn't like his coverage and neither did his predecessors. But we saw that Mayor Keller attended the King's Day protests over Trump's dictates this weekend. He apparently gets the media's role, but continues to find it politically useful to blame shame. In other words the gas light is lit for Campaign '25.

LEWIS VS. ALLEN

Councilor Lewis
The latest on the District 5 ABQ City Council race centers on Republican Dan Lewis' longevity on the westside. 

He faces Athena Allen, a progressive Democrat, national security expert and wife of Dem BernCo Sheriff John Allen. Opines a Dem consultant:

Lewis looks well-positioned. The district does have more a a Democratic lean these days but likely won't flip until he gives up the seat. He is deeply rooted there. Allen is not helped by her relationship with the Sheriff. That's too much for voters concerned about law enforcement oversight. But she is running a strong campaign. The race should be close. 

Athena Allen

Lewis has been an on again off again councilor for the district and is seeking his fourth term.

His AFSCME union endorsement is significant for a Republican although Allen has received support from several other unions and financial backing from a PAC --ABQ for All--that is made up of construction and electrical workers. 

Lewis won the seat in 2021 defeating conservative Democratic incumbent Cynthia Borrego. That flipped the district from Democratic to Republican control, contributing to a narrower Dem Council majority with 5 Dems to 4 Republicans. 

That partisan divide is expected to remain after the election but anti-Keller conservative Democrat Louis Sanchez will be replaced by a more neutral Dem councilor. 

Sanchez often joined often joined with Republicans to give them a working Council majority

Where Lewis stands on the issues here and more on Allen's positions here.

We had a thousand word limit on today's blog and brought it in at 999. Yet another reason why. . . 

This is the Home of New Mexico Politics.    

E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com)

Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here.

Monday, October 20, 2025

The Hesitant Hull; Rio Rancho GOP Mayor Says He Is Officially In Guv Race But Doesn't Rule Out Another Run For Mayor, Plus: Our Free Spending Dem Guv Hopefuls, And: From SGR To MTO

Mayor Hull (Journal)
You may have heard the phrase"burying the lead" (or lede) in which the most important point of a news story is placed at the very bottom. Today we have a classic case of that and how the neglected news impacts the '26 GOP gubernatorial primary. 

In finally making his candidacy "official" after a false start Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull came with a video. So he's finally all in, right? Nope. 

Hull is again hedging his bets with this statement that ran as the final sentence in a report about his announcement:

Hull’s current term as mayor runs through March’s local election in Rio Rancho, and he has not decided whether he will seek another term as he also pursues his gubernatorial campaign.

Say what? Hull is going to run for Governor but could still be a candidate for mayor in the March 2026 Rio Rancho mayoral election where he would be seeking a fourth term? 

So if a political heavyweight makes a late entry into the race does that mean Hull pushes the button on the escape hatch and runs for mayor instead? Or does he get completely unserious and run for both offices at the same time?  

THE HULL HESITANCY 

This is the not the first time that Hull has pulled back from what any reasonable observer would conclude is an unequivocal run for for Governor: 

First he announced he would make his candidacy official on June 2, but then--as we reported--pulled that back:

The middle of the road Republican has sent out an enigmatic news release saying that he delayed his planned June 2 formal announcement. That could set the stage for his withdrawal from the race, if things don't start looking up. 

From the release: Hull. . .will continue engaging with voters and community leaders. . .ahead of an anticipated formal campaign launch. Originally eyeing June 2 the campaign is choosing to extend its listening tour to ensure that our platform reflects the real concerns, hopes, and priorities of New Mexicans. . . 

Then came July 31 when Hull released a "launch video" that affirmed his candidacy, saying: 

Despite unfounded rumors, I am reaching out to you to confirm my commitment.

But as we wrote at the time, the "rumors" were anything but unfounded. The Alligators don't play around with the future of the Governor's office. And we we responded:

Hull, not ready to get in, erred by going public with a planned announcement date and then bailing out. It was his action that caused the "rumors" and cast a shadow over his steadiness and decision-making process. 

And here we go again. The deadline to file for Rio Rancho Mayor is January 6, leaving open the possibility that the third time is not the charm when it comes to the hesitancy of Hull.

But isn't the Governor's race about the fortunes of the people of New Mexico and not the fate of a politician's career? 

Mayor, for your obvious fence-sitting and hedge betting, you are the victim of a self-inflicted Alligator Strike. Congrats. . . or something. 

FREE SPENDERS

Meanwhile, while Hull may be sending signals to a future legislature that he can be easily swayed, the Democratic gubernatorial candidates are messaging that when it comes to handling the state's money, they may be more than a bit cavalier.

Deb Haaland now reports raising a total of $7 million for her campaign but has only $2.8 million in cash on hand, a spend down of 60 percent. For what?  It's not as though she has been in a massive paid media war. The primary isn't until next June.

Dem Sam Bregman has raised a total of $3.15 million and reports only $1.5 million in cash. That's less than Haaland but still a 48 percent spend down. Again, why? 

The obvious answer is the campaign consultant complex that works year round to create
 a need for their services which do not come cheap. Then there is the cost of raising campaign money by expensive professional fund-raisers.

Haaland ran into consultant trouble when campaign insiders confirmed that she had a falling out with then  campaign manager Scott Forrester over his compensation for digital ads. He then departed but it didn't stop the money from flowing like New Year's champagne. The other consultants just picked up where he left off. 

Bregman's main campaign event of late was the release of a 189 page "Blueprint" for New Mexico but much of it was criticized for coming from state web sites. 

Where was he and his handsomely paid consultants on that one?

In reaction to her massive cash haul Haaland said she is continuing to "listen" to voters about their concerns. One of those could be whether she and Bregman will have as free of a hand managing state finances as they seem to with their own campaigns. 

The latest finance report of Dem Guv hopeful Ken Miyagishima is here.

ALL IN THE FAMILY 

The political community has been wondering whether Bregman's talented and very wealthy pro baseball playing son Alex Bregman would be getting in on Dad's campaign. Yes, he will. He showed up to bat in the latest finance reports along with his wife who both donated the maximum $12,400. 

That raises the question whether Alex will continue aiding Pop with donations that could be put in a PAC that could then hit some campaign home runs for Bregman.

Haaland, a national figure, retains the money lead but because so much of her funds have been spent she can't really hold it over Bregman' s head. 

To the chagrin of her bevy of consultants who told her otherwise, Bregman is in this for the long game. His problem is getting stuck in the mud of rural New Mexico while she easily conquers progressive bastions in ABQ/Santa Fe.

FROM SGR TO MTO 

Speaking of which, the expected emergence of Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver as the leading candidate for the Democratic nomination for lieutenant governor--now that Land Commissioner Stephanie Garcia Richard has dropped out--is all about vote-rich Bernalillo County

MTO has slayed the dragon here repeatedly with two boffo wins for Bernalillo County Clerk Clerk and then a couple more more for Sec. of State. The county is fundamental to a Dem Guv win and the Haaland team, never happy with Garcia Richard, is happy to see that MTO is about to formally declare.

Garcia Richard proved less resilient than many expected but her husband's bout with cancer combined with an MTO poll (conveniently leaked) that showed her with a big lead were high hurdles. 

If MTO does defeat ABQ Sen. Harold Pope for the Light Guv nomination--and why would he even stay in at this point--it would not be a blow for Bregman. In fact, even if he did not get along with his running mate--not unusual--she would likely help him in the general election in big BernCo as much as as she would Haaland. 

But let's not get carried away. As the second banana the SOS is about to find out that when it comes to getting in on the inside of the campaigns for #1, she might have to send out an SOS. 

This is the Home of New Mexico Politics.    

E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com)

Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here.

Thursday, October 16, 2025

Kelller "Unflappable" As Three Rivals Pile On At One And Only Mayoral TV Debate; Crime And Homeless Dominate; Sanchez Hit From Two Sides On Immigration; Experts Say Debate Could Solidify Race For Mayor And White

KOAT debate

What will be the only televised debate in the ABQ race for mayor was held last night and may have served as group therapy of sorts for so many residents frustrated over crime and homelessness. Those top-of-the-mind subjects consumed well over half the time.

But politically our experts said the 60 minute face-off only solidified the likely outcome November 4--a first place finish by Mayor Keller, second for Republican Darren White and a probable December run-off election between them. (Full debate and transcript here. Newspaper report here.)

Time and again former Sheriff White, City Councilor Louis Sanchez and former US Attorney Alex Uballez targeted Keller but veteran analyst and Santa Fe attorney Greg Payne said the verbal bruising he received did not land:  

I don't think anyone laid a glove on Keller. There were numerous jabs that he very easily swatted away. The needle on this campaign barely moved but if it moved at all, it inched toward Keller. He proved pretty much unflappable at blocking the blows coming his way and showed confidence in doing so.

AN UNSADDLED SANCHEZ 

The needle may have moved more noticeably for the fortunes of Councilor Sanchez who was thrown from his saddle by both Keller and White over the hot button issue of immigration.

Sanchez launched a spirited attack on Keller's immigration policy, decrying the city's status as a "Sanctuary City" and pointing at Keller and declaring: "You want to protect criminals!"

But Sanchez voted against a proposed amendment to Albuquerque's immigrant-friendly policy, which required police cooperation with federal immigration authorities. The decision was part of a Council debate on the city's stance towards immigration enforcement.

Sanchez 
Keller struck first: 

Louis, you literally voted for my policy. Like, literally. And no one is protecting murderers. We will arrest anyone who commits murder and we will prosecute them. . .so look at your own voting record.

White laughed out loud, nodding his head in agreement over Keller's take down. Conservative Democrat Sanchez has been posing a threat to White's Republican base so he pounced at the chance to bring them home:

Louis that law was very clear that you voted on. That change would have said if you were in this country illegally and you were charged with a violent crime . . .it would have required the APD to turn that information over to (federal authorities). You voted against that. You were the deciding vote. So the truth is you voted against it.

It may have been a good moment for White to bring home Republicans and nail down second place but not for many other voters, argued Dem consultant David Alcon

Darren White assumed the angry white man position early on, alienating himself from many would-be voters. 

The Keller camp believes their easiest path to victory is a run-off with Republican White while Uballez and Sanchez would be harder to handle. 

One of the Mayor's political advisors said of his performance:

The mayor managed to fend off his opponents punches that came in strong and wild, while locking them up and landing at least one direct power punch on each opponent. Despite the onslaught against him, Keller stood tall, was forceful but collected and stayed on message. At the end Louie walked into a major assault from Darren in his immigrant friendly vote. 

White 
Former US Attorney Uballez, like he has for much of the campaign, seemed a bit lost in the shuffle, coming to life early but rarely making a point that forced the moderator to give Keller a chance at rebuttal. As the night wore on he faded and the other candidates gobbled up the time. His campaign, however, said progressive Uballez had made his point:

The debate couldn’t make Albuquerque’s choice clearer: voters have a better option than Keller’s doubling down on the status quo and candidates who are running on a platform of complaints about it. Alex Uballez offered real solutions based on years of law enforcement experience like getting to faster 911 response times and investing in young people to prevent crime and violence before it starts. 

White's campaign said:

Darren White was the clear winner of tonight's KOAT mayoral debate. He laid out a bold plan to fight crime and end homelessness. When asked what Albuquerque needs to restore Route 66, White's answer said it all: "A new mayor." Straightforward. Strong. The leader Albuquerque needs.

We did not see any Sanchez debate reaction by blog press time. 

THE ODD COUPLE  

The two other other mayoral candidates--Dem Mayling Armijo and Eddie Varela--were excluded by KOAT from the debate based on polling and fund-raising. The political odd couple viewed the debate together and commented on it via Facebook.

This is the Home of New Mexico Politics.        

E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com)

Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here.

Wednesday, October 15, 2025

More Momentum For Garcia In Santa Fe Mayoral Battle; Newspaper Endorses The Councilor To Succeed Webber, Plus: ABQ Mayoral Money Update: Keller Still In Driver's Seat; Abeyta With Expert Analysis

From political correctness to pragmatism. That's what's shaping the race for mayor of Santa as eight candidates compete for voter attention.

After eight years of woke progressive leadership from Mayor Alan Webber the city of 90,000 is realizing that problems national in scale show signs of taking hold there and demand much more attention and effective management.

That narrative continues to lead to City Councilor Michael Garcia, 46,who has opened up a polling lead with his somewhat bureaucratic messaging and nose to the grindstone approach to city government.

Garcia's weekend endorsement from the Santa Fe New Mexican, which shared concerns that your blog has has often expressed about the City Different's future, puts an exclamation point on Garcia's lead:

While East Coast travel magazines remain charmed with Santa Fe. . .the mayoral candidates have been in sync with Santa Fe residents in pointing out systemic problems with public safety, homelessness, housing affordability, roads, parks, utilities infrastructure and overall quality of life. . . only one mayoral choice understands the deep-dive challenges facing Santa Fe and the opportunities to reconnect public policies with the public’s interest. . .(Councilor Michael Garcia has) a penchant for launching into complex discussions on policies and procedures. Does he come across as bureaucratic at times? Yes. But when he makes a point, it’s with a deep understanding of governance. . .If elected, Garcia will learn from Webber’s weaknesses. . .Garcia has the intelligence, courage and integrity to represent all of Santa Fe. 

Only about 20,000 voters are expected to cast a ballot in the Santa Fe election Nov. 4. While newspaper endorsements don't matter much in larger media markets anymore (many papers no longer do them) in smaller boroughs such as Santa Fe there is a closer relationship with readers and the business community and an endorsement can pack some punch.

Again, the larger picture is that fighting battles over the obelisk on the Plaza are out. Confronting a much changed socioeconomic landscape with the tools of government are in. 

GREENE OBJECTS

In reaction to the endorsement of Garcia progressive Dem Santa Fe County Commissioner and mayoral hopeful Justin Greene came with this counterpoint:

The Santa Fe New Mexican endorsement reflects the same establishment politics that have held our city back for too long. Leadership and management ability are key. Santa Fe knows the issues--what we can’t afford is more delay and excuses. 

Our city needs someone who can deliver results and move us forward. Our campaign is about action: tackling housing affordability, addressing homelessness with accountability and compassion, and restoring trust at City Hall. The momentum we’re seeing across every district shows that voters are ready for change--and that’s exactly what I’ll deliver as mayor. 

ABQ MAYOR MONEY 

Mayor Keller 

The most important of the money numbers updated in the ABQ mayoral race by the city Tuesday come from ABQ Mayor Tim Keller--the front-runner--who reports $281,000 in cash on hand for the final three weeks of Campaign '25.

He reports spending a total of $476,000 of the $757,000 he had to start after becoming the sole candidate to qualify for public financing. 

The latest reports cover the period September 9, 2025, to October 13.

Keller is on the air with a large TV buy. He still has enough cash for more TV, more digital ads and mail. That's the three major legs of a complete media campaign and he is the only candidate as of today who has the resources to do one effectively.

Republican Darren White reports he has cash on hand of $154,000. He also reports a $20,000 personal loan to get there. He reports total fund-raising of $270,000 and expenditures of $117,000. Peterson Properties came with a $5,000 contribution.

Louie Sanchez reports just $68,000 in cash, has raised a total of $307,000 including a $150,000 personal loan. Jewelry Market and Supply gave him $6,000 as did former NMGOP Chair and oilman Harvey Yates

Alex Uballez reports reports $110,000 in cash on hand, raised $194,000 and spent $138,000.  

Mayling Armijo reports $58,000 in cash on hand and raising $137,000 total. Eddie 

Varela reports just $8,4000 in cash and reported raising $22,000 of which $10,000 came from a personal loan. 

The numbers give Keller plenty of elbow room for media buys. There is also a PAC out there supporting him that reported in September having $120,000 in cash. We await updated numbers. 

UPDATE: The Ascend ABQ PAC now reports $160,000 in cash on hand, up from the $120K, most of which could drop for Keller in the final three weeks. 

White has enough money for some more TV but key Republicans like Harvey Yates, business leader Carla Sonntag and former GOP mayoral candidate Michelle Garcia Holmes are supporting conservative Dem Louie Sanchez, making it difficult for him to raise money and get the party behind him. 

Meanwhile, a consultant with ties to the Keller camp says White has not been up on broadcast TV--meaning KOAT, KOB, or KRQE--but does have a cable buy on Fox News. 

ABEYTA ANALYSIS  

Consultant Abeyta

I asked longtime Dem consultant Sisto Abeyta what it would take for Sanchez to overtake Republican White's expected second place showing behind Keller November 4. 

The top two finishers go to a December 9 run-off if no candidate reaches 50 percent of the vote. 

To beat White out for second place Sanchez probably needs more than double the cash he has now, a big push to increase Hispanic turnout in his ABQ westside Council district; a targeted campaign to appeal to higher educated Hispanics citywide and then combine those groups with the Republican support that is coming his way and hurting White. 

With that expert analysis in mind the mayoral race still seems headed for a Keller-White run-off, with Keller likely being stopped short of the 50 percent to avoid a run-off election.

Abeyta adds that progressive Democrat Alex Uballez would be the biggest threat to Keller in a run-off by eating into his Democratic base. He says the second biggest threat would be Councilor Sanchez who could unite the Hispanic vote. 

Keller is seeking an unprecedented third term. That is uncharted territory. Fatigue and dislike of the incumbent can't be discounted and could still make the race more volatile in the final stretch.

Tonight at 7 four of the six candidates--Keller, White Uballez and Sanchez--will engage in the only  televised debate of the campaign. It will air on KOAT-TV. Mayling Armijo, the only woman candidate on the mayoral ballot, has been excluded by the station because of poor polling numbers. Ditto for Republican Eddie Varela. 

This is the Home of New Mexico Politics.        

E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com)

Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here.

Tuesday, October 14, 2025

Keller Blasted In First TV Ads From Foes; Sanchez Asks: "Do You Believe A Failed Politician Or Your Own Eyes?" White Declares: "We Need Change Now"

Sanchez TV ad
Conservative Democrat Louie Sanchez and Republican Darren White are up with TV following Keller's first buy and neither wastes time in trying to chip away at the mayor's big polling lead. 

Sanchez counters Keller's first pollyannish ad that pointed to his eight year record and that said he has accomplished a lot more than "the news media is telling you about."

In the TV ad Councilor Sanchez, a retired APD officer, coms with a tough response, showing  homeless people strewn across city sidewalks and saying this in-your-face evidence is enough to deny Keller a third term. 

The 30 second ad that our campaign sources report has about $30,000 behind it is airing on broadcast and cable: 

Narrator: Do you believe a failed politician? 

Keller: We've made real progress.

Narrator: Or your own eyes? 

Tim Keller is lying, we can see it with our own eyes.  

And now he says “That’s why we need a little more time.” 

Eight years has been enough. We deserve better. Louie Sanchez has a plan to clean up our city. Safe streets, more jobs, and a government that works. Vote for change. Vote Louie Sanchez for Mayor. 

The "lying eyes" reference the Sanchez ad makes is similar to what we wrote on our August 25 blog when we reviewed Keller's annual State of the City Address

"Who are you going to believe, me or your lying eyes?" ABQ Mayor Tim Keller did not cite that famous quote from a Marx brothers movie at his annual State of the City address Saturday but that was the essence of the buoyant half-hour summary he offered to Mr. and Mrs. Albuquerque before a considerable crowd at the ABQ BioPark

So how does the Sanchez ad play politically? He polled at just 6 percent in the late September Journal poll but was getting 12 percent of the Republican vote. It is reasonable to assume that whatever impact his small ad buy has it will be mainly with Republicans because of its unabashed anti-Keller rhetoric and focus on the homeless problem. Undecided GOP voters were at 36 percent in the poll. 

What the ad will not do is immediately vault Sanchez past leading Republican mayoral candidate Darren White who came in second and polled 16 percent in the Journal poll. However Sanchez is now more of a threat to White for second place. If he can put more financial muscle behind his well-produced, hard-hitting ad there is an outside chance he could displace the former sheriff. 

None of the candidates are competing with Keller financially who was the only one to qualify for over $750,000 in public campaign funding.

DAYS OF DARREN 


White TV ad

Meanwhile White is making his own play for more conservative votes by going after Keller for making ABQ a "Sanctuary City," a designation White says he would end if elected. 

His first TV ad, also hard-hitting and with much appeal for the anti-Keller crowd, hammers Keller for the 750 homicides that have taken place during his eight years at the helm as well as "tent cities" that White says he will take down on "day one." The ad says: 

Over 750 homicides, homeless tent cities everywhere. We need change now. Republican Darren White for Mayor.

White tells the audience directly: 

Eight years of failure is enough. No more sanctuary for criminals and the tent encampments come down on day one. 

The crisp narration by White displays his experience in broadcasting. No word yet on how much White is spending on the ad but like Sanchez, as of September 8 he had campaign funds of less than $150,000.

Polling shows 66 percent of Republicans are with White on the sanctuary issue while overall 51 percent of likely voters back Keller's decision not to have local law enforcement cooperate with ICE.  

For now the split in the Republican and conservative vote among Sanchez, White, Eddie Varela and Mayling Armijo is good math for Keller who was polling first at 29 percent and is expected to come out on top Election Night. But if any of his foes come with major league dollars in the final weeks things could get more interesting. 

How much Keller beats his second place competitor by would be key in setting expectations for the run off election that would take place between the top two finishers if no candidate reaches 50 percent. 

This is the Home of New Mexico Politics.

E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com)

Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here.

Monday, October 13, 2025

Holiday Rumor Mill Spins Over Who Will Be Next UNM President: MLG's Name Enters The Mix As She Eyes End Of Her Final Term; Far-Fetched Or Plausible?

Today is a holiday so relax a bit and take in a potential jaw-dropper from the nonstop rumor mill of La Politica. 

It comes from one of our longtime and politically connected sources who is starting to take more seriously speculation that MLG could possibly become the next president of the University of New Mexico. As we said, that's quite the jaw-dropper. Read on: 

For the second time and each time from a completely different source, I was told that the announced retirement of UNM President Garnett Stokes retirement is not voluntary and that Paul Blanchard, the Governor's hand-picked chair of the UNM Board of Regents, has been working hard to convince the other regents that Stokes should be replaced with Michelle Lujan Grisham. That would happen when the Governor's term expires next year. 

If true, I consider this very unwise for our state and our flagship university. MLG's management style is chaotic and intensely personalized--not a good fit for UNM.

Keep your antennae out for any corroborating information about this, Joe, and if it seems to be accurate. 

Consider the optics: UNM run by MLG, Western NM run by Lt. Gov. Howie Morales and Northern NM College already run by former Attorney General Hector Balderas. Who needs academic administrative experience earned by laboring in the field for years when you can hop on the ex-politician escalator and ride to the top in style? 

Lt. Gov. Morales has long been mentioned a s a possible new WNMU president. An interim president is in place there after scandal deposed his predecessor. A search is underway for a permanent president and that could be Morales who is from Silver City where WNMU is based. The gig pays north of $400,000 in salary and benefits. 

UNM President Stokes has announced that after eight years as president she will retire in July 2026. MLG's final Guv term ends Dec. 31 of '26.

MLG MOVIDA? 

MLG does not have a Ph.D which is usually the case for a college president but not mandatory and ignored in the past when it comes to tapping prominent political leaders for the job. 

Carruthers
The rumor about Lujan Grisham and UNM is just that, but a Governor becoming a college president here is not without precedent. Former GOP Governor Garrey Carruthers became Chancellor of NMSU in Las Cruces in 2013. However, his appointment came long after he had completed his one term as Governor at the end of 1990.

The pay for the UNM president job is nothing to sneeze at. Stokes is making $675,000 a year in salary plus perks that include a housing allowance, car, health insurance, travel and a retirement match.

Maybe we buried the lead. With that kind of lucrative pay and leadership status up for grabs, it could be right up MLG's alley--but could it be too controversial for UNM to swallow?  

Interesting stuff from that Alligator. We'll certainly keep our antenna up for any developments. 

Okay, now back to your holiday. 

This is the Home of New Mexico Politics.    

E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com)

Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here.

Thursday, October 09, 2025

Time For Another Edition Of Reader Vox Populi; They Write Of Abortion, The Mayoral Race, The Homeless, The Anti-Litter Campaign And More

The email stack is getting high, a sure sign that it's time for another highly anticipated edition of Reader Vox Populi We kick it off with this reaction from state House GOP Caucus Chair Rebecca Dow to our Wednesday blog on state healthcare and abortion:

 Joe, your report on abortion used soft terminology and glossed over what New Mexico’s health laws really allow. State law permits abortion through all stages of pregnancy, even procedures involving viable babies late in term, with no parental consent for minors. It protects and funds puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones, and surgeries that remove healthy body parts from youth, and promotes COVID shots for healthy babies at six months. These are not abstract policies—they are codified in law and funded with taxpayer dollars, and the public deserves honest language about them.

Another reader with a GOP lean writes:

One useful piece from the Guttmacher data stands out: In New Mexico, the number of clinics more than doubled—from six to thirteen, a 117% increase—while abortions rose by 256%, an increase of about 15,000. We’ve clearly shown the ability to mobilize resources when the issue draws national attention—serving thousands of women, mostly from Texas. Yet we can’t seem to muster the same will to keep our medical residents, expand primary care, or strengthen rural healthcare for New Mexicans. It’s a strange inversion of priorities. We can serve the nation’s headlines, but not our own people. 

MAYORAL DEBATE 

A reader identifying as Bobby Griego has armchair analysis of the ABQ mayoral campaign: 

Joe, I like your solution to the ban by KOAT of mayoral candidates Mayling Armijo and Eddie Varela from the Oct. 15 debate--if the are to be added the time allowance for the debate simply can be extended. Inclusion is generally a good idea, but so is substance. The city has some very critical issues facing it and residents deserve probing questions and detailed answers--not just fluff. Residents are all clear on what the main issues are; what they need are details on how each candidate is going to get that done. That will not happen with six candidates and limited time. 

Also, I find Mayor Keller's social media appeal for Armijo and Varela's inclusion to be disingenuous. It is clear that what he wants is a watered down debate. He does not want to get into issues and his record too deep. 

It is also obvious that what is happening is Mayling Armijo is auditioning for a position in a potential Keller third term--likely the ABQ Director of Economic Development. This would allow Terry Brunner to concentrate on being the Chief of Staff and not pull double duty. 

During the debate Armijo would act as Keller's shield, suck up time, and it will all be over before it actually begins. If Keller really wants to advance democracy and promote transparency during the election, he should agree to more debates.

RIO RANCHO FOR KELLER

Longtime reader Mitchell Freedman monitors all things political in the state, even races he can't vote in: 

Joe, I live in Rio Rancho. As a relative new resident of New Mexico in 2017, I was excited for and backed, Tim Keller in his first run as mayor. I believed, with his statewide leadership and experience, his experience in finance and friendly demeanor that he would hit the ground running. I admit to being deeply surprised and disappointed at how he functioned in the first term and part of the second term. However, I now believe Keller has finally gotten a handle on crime and homelessness and has shown more wisdom in how to lead a city with the level of challenges Albuquerque has.

As I look at who is running against him, I see nobody ready for prime time. Running this city is harder than running the state due to municipal governmental constraints. When I see the way in which these other candidates have behaved in this campaign, it feels as if there is more vanity than either experience or wisdom in their wanting to take on the mayoral role. If I lived in Albuquerque, I would be voting for Keller for his third term. Finally, I would add Keller's latest pronouncement--that the next term would be his last term--is also a sign of the wisdom he has learned in being the mayor of Albuquerque. 

POOR PORTAL 

Reader Vicky Salazar writes: 

Hi Joe, long time reader here. Just an average voter. But today I'm annoyed. I got so many texts and emails this weekend from candidates who asked me to sign their petitions--which I'm happy to do. But when I tried to sign into the Secretary of State portal to do so, I got an error message. Not once but all day! Isn't this a bit ironic that the portal is down and no one can get signatures while she gears up to announce her run for another office?! 

That's Vicky zinging SOS Maggie Toulouse Oliver who says she may run for lieutenant governor next year.  

HOMELESS IN ABQ


Reader John Strong writes:

 Hi Joe, I walk our neighborhood early each morning and noticed an SUV parked on the side of the street that was unfamiliar to me. After a few days my neighbor called and asked if we knew the car. They had seen the driver get out barefoot in the morning, stretch and then get back in and drive off, returning in the evening. He was causing no trouble, left no trash or disturbed anything, but it made me aware that I have seen at least three other vehicles like this jin our neighborhood near 15th and Central. It seemed obvious that this person had likely become homeless, but still had a car and likely a job, and may be just trying to hold on. 

I’m concerned about this being an emerging problem, where people who do not want to be homeless are desperately trying to stay afloat and clinging to some normalcy. Wouldn’t this be the best time for intervention? Before they lose the car or the job and become chronically homeless? I don’t blame the man for parking in my neighborhood, it's relatively safe and I'm sure that's why he was here. Should we have a safe monitored place for those in this situation? Wouldn’t that be better than forcing them into alleys and dark lots? And should we try and provide some way for them to have hygiene and clean clothes, if they’re trying to hold onto jobs? I m very concerned that in a developing economic downturn, this is a problem that could suddenly explode on us and we should be planning for solutions now

SHAMEFUL CAMPAIGN? 

A Santa Fe reader writes of the latest TV ad in the "state’s $2.9 million “Breaking Bad Habits” anti-litter campaign. It features "the notorious Salamanca characters, twin brothers and prolific hitmen in the popular hit TV series "Breaking Bad" and its spinoff "Better Call Saul," that were filmed here.

Joe, the new state litter campaign is shameful. Tying litter control to “territories” and glamorizing gang culture may be trendy, but it doesn’t reflect who we are as New Mexicans. I’m a fourth-generation New Mexican, not a tourist, politically middle of the road, and this isn’t about sides—it’s about pride. We can do better.   

Thanks to all for the thoughtful and insightful comments. We look forward to the next edition of Reader Vox Populi. 

This is the Home of New Mexico Politics.    

E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com)

Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here.



website design by limwebdesign